Сколько пусков Falcon 9 будет в 2014 году?

[Aleks1961]

SpaceX Drives Sharp Increase in Projected Launches at Cape Jan. 15, 2014

...Most of the projected boost in the Cape's launch business is due to Space Exploration Technologies Corp., which is ramping up its commercial satellite launching services. SpaceX, which launched the Thaicom-6 commercial satellite from the facility Jan. 6., has reservations for an additional 9 launches, with an option for an 10th, according to the Air Force.    

But whether SpaceX will be able to carry out that many launches remains to be seen — the company in previous years has fallen short of its launch projections.   Customers on SpaceX's 2014 Cape Canaveral manifest include satellite operators Orbcomm and Asiasat, NASA — SpaceX is scheduled to launch the first of three space station resupply missions Feb. 22 — and the Air Force. 

http://www.spacenews.com/article/launch-report/39110spacex-drives-sharp-increase-in-projected-launches-at-cape

[Salo]

Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)
 
January 3 - Thaicom 6 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 22:57
 
February 22 - Dragon SpX-3 (CRS3), Hermes 2, LMRSat, TechCube 1, All-Star (THEIA) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
 
NET March - Orbcomm G2 (x8 ) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
 
April - AsiaSat 8 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
 
May - AsiaSat 6 (Thaicom 7) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
 
June 6 - Dragon SpX-4 (CRS4) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
 
NET 2nd quarter - Demo Flight - Falcon Heavy - Vandenberg SLC-4E
 
September 12 - Dragon SpX-5 (CRS5) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
 
December 5 - Dragon SpX-6 (CRS6) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
 
December - Turkmensat - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 (or Ariane 5 ECA)
 
NET December - Orbcomm G2 (x9) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

Последний под вопросом

[G.K.]

Маск планирует ещё немного форсировать Флакон?

[Salo]

Текущий прогноз:

Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

January 6 - Thaicom 6 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 -22:06

March 16 - Dragon SpX-3 (CRS3), Hermes 2, LMRSat, TechCube 1, All-Star (THEIA), Ho'oponopono-2, SporeSat, TSAT (TestSat-Lite) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 08:41

April 30 - Orbcomm G2 (x6) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 (or mid-April)

May - AsiaSat 8 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

July 25 - Dragon SpX-4 (CRS4) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

summer - AsiaSat 6 (Thaicom 7) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

November 27 - Dragon SpX-5 (CRS5) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

November - Orbcomm G2 (x11) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

December - Turkmensat - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 (or Ariane 5 ECA)

[Salo]

G.K. пишет:
Маск планирует ещё немного форсировать Флакон?

вплоть до 5,5 тонн на ГПО.

[Mark]

SpaceX's Matsumori: We're aiming for 9 more Falcon 9 launches this year, starting with Sunday's CRS mission for Nasa.


11.03.2014

https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/443478353773744128

[Salo]

http://www.spaceflightnow.com/falcon9/010/140421manifest/#.U1dM46L-5eI

Launch unlocks manifest for Orbcomm, AsiaSat
BY STEPHEN CLARK
SPACEFLIGHT NOW
Posted: April 21, 2014

Friday's liftoff of a Falcon 9 rocket cleared a bottleneck in SpaceX's Florida launch schedule that forced two commercial customers, Orbcomm and AsiaSat, to keep their completed satellites at their factories to wait out launch delays.
 
File photo of a Falcon 9 rocket launching fr om Cape Canaveral, Fla. Photo credit: Walter Scriptunas II/Scriptunas Images
 
 SpaceX founder and CEO Elon Musk said Friday the Hawthorne, Calif.-based company still expected to launch 10 Falcon 9 rockets this year despite the delays.
With the Jan. 6 liftoff of the Thaicom 6 telecom satellite and Friday's launch of a Falcon 9 rocket with SpaceX's Dragon cargo spacecraft to the International Space Station, eight more missions are on the Falcon 9 manifest this year.
Four of the launches are booked by New Jersey-based Orbcomm and AsiaSat of Hong Kong.
Not all of the delays leading up to Friday's launch were the fault of SpaceX, which found itself at the mercy of the U.S. Air Force's Eastern Range and the often-tricky scheduling of operations involving the International Space Station.
SpaceX did push back the space station resupply launch twice itself in recent weeks because of concerns over contamination in the Dragon supply ship's cargo-carrying trunk and a faulty helium valve that scrubbed an April 14 launch attempt.
The six Orbcomm satellites scheduled to launch on SpaceX's next mission completed testing and were ready to be transported to Cape Canaveral several weeks ago but had to be held at their Sierra Nevada Corp. factory until SpaceX was ready to receive them, officials said.
Orbcomm says it now expects the launch to be between May 17 and May 25.
Next in line on SpaceX's launch manifest are AsiaSat 8 and AsiaSat 6. Both satellites passed were declared ready for shipment to Cape Canaveral in early March at Space Systems/Loral, the spacecraft's manufacturer based in Palo Alto, Calif.
AsiaSat 8 and AsiaSat 6 each passed a "pre-ship review" in early March, a milestone marking the completion of manufacturing and testing of a satellite before shipment to the launch site, according to Roger Tong, AsiaSat's vice president of engineering and operations.
But AsiaSat 8 will have to wait until a launch opportunity in late June, at the earliest, followed a month later by AsiaSat 6, assuming no difficulties preparing any of the upcoming missions for launch.
 
Artist's concept of AsiaSat 8. Photo credit: Space Systems/Loral
 
 AsiaSat 8 carries Ku-band and Ka-band transponders to support direct-to-home television broadcasts, private networks and broadband services over the Middle East, Europe and Asia. AsiaSat 6's C-band communications payload will beam video programming and broadband connectivity to customers in Asia, Australia and the Pacific islands.
Both AsiaSat satellites will be injected by the Falcon 9 rocket into geostationary transfer orbit, a high-altitude, egg-shaped parking orbit for spacecraft heading to operating positions 22,300 miles over the equator. Orbcomm's OG2 satellite constellation will be placed in low Earth orbit.
Orbcomm was the first commercial satellite operator to sign up for launches with SpaceX. The company, which specializes in machine-to-machine communications and tracking services, initially booked the launch of its second-generation, or OG2, satellite constellation on SpaceX's small Falcon 1 rocket.
But the lightweight launcher was phased out by SpaceX, and Orbcomm's satellites switched to flights of clusters of satellites on the larger Falcon 9 booster under a $42.6 million contract for two Falcon 9 missions.
The second-generation OG2 satellites will improve Orbcomm's messaging service with faster transmission speeds and increased throughput. The satellites will operate in orbit at an altitude of about 750 kilometers, or 466 miles.
The first four OG2 satellites arrived at SpaceX's Cape Canaveral launch site Monday, according to Orbcomm CEO Marc Eisenburg. Two more satellites are due to arrive in Florida later this week after shipment via truck from Sierra Nevada's manufacturing plant in Louisville, Colo.
 
A second-generation Orbcomm satellite under construction at the Sierra Nevada factory in Colorado. Photo credit: Sierra Nevada Corp.
 
 Each spacecraft weighs 380 pounds fueled for liftoff and measures about the size of a mini-refrigerator. Once in orbit, the satellites will extend its power-generating solar panel and antenna to a span of 42 feet tip-to-tip.
Emily Shanklin, a SpaceX spokesperson, said the first and second stages of the Falcon 9 rocket assigned to the Orbcomm mission are at the Cape Canaveral launch site to begin final preparations.
The rocket will be assembled and the satellite filled with propellant inside SpaceX's hangar, which sits on the southern edge of Cape Canaveral's Complex 40 launch pad.
Friday's launch of the Falcon 9 rocket and Dragon spacecraft cleared room to move the Orbcomm launcher and satellites into the facility.
SpaceX officials have said a steady cadence of launches this year will be critical to proving the company can launch customers' satellites on schedule. That poses production and processing challenges at SpaceX's headquarters and factory in California, the rocket test facility in Central Texas, and the launch site in Florida.
"We think we can probably still do 10 [launches], but it's a bit too early to tell if all 10 will occur this year," Musk said Friday. "The main constraint is actually on vehicle production, and it all boils down to this one particular part, which is an injector casting, and we think we've resolved that particular issue, which should unlock quite a high rate of booster production."
SpaceX needs to achieve about one Falcon 9 launch per month to pull off 10 flights this year, replicating a one-month turnaround SpaceX demonstrated between two Falcon 9 missions in early December and early January with the SES 8 and Thaicom 6 television broadcasting satellites.
"I think we've demonstrated that we can do 30-day turnarounds," said Barry Matsumori, SpaceX's vice president of commercial sales, in March. "It is going to be our challenge this year to execute on that manifest, and reliably fly that manifest ... What it comes down to is pad turnaround and getting the vehicles processed. That's wh ere we have to show and demonstrate that we can do it."

Follow Stephen Clark on Twitter: @StephenClark1.

[/I][/B]

[Salo]

http://aviationweek.com/blog/orbcomms-elusive-falcon-9-launch-date-tbd

Orbcomm's Elusive Falcon 9 Launch Date TBD
Jun 13, 2014 by Amy Svitak in On Space

It's a big year for SpaceX. Aside from souped-up space capsules, reusable rockets and pending certification to compete for Air Force missions, 2014 is the company's first year as a credible contender in the commercial launch business, a revenue stream crucial to funding all of the above.

With the launch of SES-8 in December last year, SpaceX began working off what it says is $4 billion in backlog, including a half dozen launches of next-generation Iridium mobile satcom birds and the world's first all-electric propulsion spacecraft being built by Boeing for commercial operators in Bermuda and France.

For now, the Hawthorne, Calif.-based company lists a dozen missions on the Falcon 9 2014 manifest, following two launches earlier this year, even though SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell has said the real number is closer to 10 or 11.

But back-to-back helium leaks on the Falcon 9 first stage in recent months have contributed to delays in at least two campaigns, including the ISS cargo resupply run for NASA in April and six Orbcomm satellites that slipped from May 10 to June 12, then to June 15. Just this morning, according to Patrick Air Force Base, the launch date was changed to "TBD."

If nothing else goes wrong, SpaceX could still get off another seven or eight missions this year, including potentially four for commercial customers. But any remaining launches are likely to slip, bringing the 2015 manifest to a somewhat laughable 20 or more missions next year, including a demo of the new Falcon Heavy from Cape Canaveral Air Force Station slated for the second quarter, and the first two Iridium launches in the second half.

Why laughable? Not because SpaceX isn't capable of it. Launching at least 20 missions annually (a mix of military, civil and commercial) is a stated goal. And with the ability to launch once a month -– as they proved with SES-8 in December and Thaicom 6 in January -- SpaceX is threatening to make good on that promise. Two months ago the company was producing about one rocket every 28 days, though Shotwell said in March the plan is to double that by the end of this year.

But the challenge SpaceX faces in maintaining a credible manifest isn't just SpaceX –- it involves other variables in the commercial launch equation as well.

In addition to its own technical setbacks, SpaceX has seen a fire at Florida's eastern range delay the planned March ISS cargo run that was already running late, due to contamination in the Dragon cargo-vessel's trunk. It slipped to early April, then again to mid-April as a result of a Falcon 9 first-stage helium leak.

More recently, after dealing with a second helium leak in a different part of the Falcon 9 core, SpaceX had to wait while Orbcomm managed "a minor issue" on one of its six OG2 communications spacecraft during final integration last week. The problem resulted in "a few extra days of delay to perform precautionary steps to ensure there are no operational concerns with the satellite," according to a statement on Orbcomm's website.

"We intend to re-encapsulate the satellites this evening," the New Jersey-based company said Tuesday, "with static test firing of the rocket scheduled for Thursday or Friday this week."

I've asked SpaceX twice to confirm a new Orbcomm launch date, but they have not. Earlier this morning, Patrick Air Force Base showed it scheduled for June 15, with a launch window from 8-8:53 p.m. But a few hours later, the site was updated to reflect the next launch as "TBD." Orbcomm says bad weather at the Cape scrubbed the Thursday static fire, and that SpaceX plans to conduct the test today, with June 16 as a back-up date to the June 15 launch target.

In the meantime, as the first half of 2014 draws to a close, SpaceX has launched just two missions, a fact that its customers do not find at all amusing.

Earlier this week, the AsiaSat 8 satellite, built by Space Systems/Loral (SSL) for fleet operator Asia Satellite Telecommunications, arrived at the Cape in preparation for a Falcon 9 launch in July. It is the first of two such telecom birds the Hong Kong-based company expects to launch this year on the rocket.

"We are pleased that AsiaSat 8 has arrived safely at the launch base," SSL President John Celli said in a June 11 news release. "Now, after many years of working together, both AsiaSat and SSL eagerly anticipate our first SpaceX launch."

Celli and AsiaSat aren't alone. With the cost of an Atlas 5 out of reach for most, Russia's Proton launcher undergoing a failure review, Sea Launch's Zenit somewhat a question mark and Europe's Ariane 5 backed up, thanks to an issue on Australia's Optus 10 satellite, commercial operators have nowhere else to go.

[Salo]

2014:

Launched:
№ – Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

01 - January 6 - Thaicom 6 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 -22:06

02 - April 18 - Dragon SpX-3 (CRS3), All-Star (THEIA), SporeSat, TSAT (TestSat-Lite), KickSat (with 104

Scheduled:
Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

NET June 16 - Orbcomm G2 (x6) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 00:00-00:53

July - AsiaSat 8 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

NET August 5 - AsiaSat 6 (Thaicom 7) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

late August - early September - Dragon SpX-4 (CRS4) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

November - Orbcomm G2 (x11) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

November - TürkmenÄlem 520E - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

December 5 - Dragon SpX-5 (CRS5) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

[Петр Зайцев]

Было бы куда удобнее иметь МИК на 2 ракеты и чистую комнату на 2 ПН, но когда строили старались подешевле и вот пожалуйста. Приходится у (бывшего) Астротеха занимать место под хранение спутников.

[Ну-и-ну]

--

[azeast]

http://ria.ru/world/20140823/1021106515.html#ixzz3BBZtRafQ
Прототип многоразовой ракеты-носителя Falcon 9R взорвался в ходе испытаний в американском штате Техас, сообщает телеканал NBC.

По данным телеканала, ракета Falcon 9R идентична Falcon 9, которая используется для выведения аппаратов на МКС. Взрыв произошел сразу же после запуска ракеты. По данным представителя компании-производителя SpaseX, причина взрыва — некая "аномалия", обнаруженная в двигателе.
"В ходе полета была обнаружена аномалия в двигателе и автоматически сработала система прекращения полета", — заявил представитель SpaseX Джон Тейлор. О характере "аномалии" не сообщается.
Испытания проходили в городе Макгрегор. В результате взрыва никто не пострадал.
Двухступенчатая ракета-носитель Falcon 9 создана частной калифорнийской компанией SpaceX, основанной миллиардером Элоном Маском. Компания заявляет, что эта ракета — самое дешевое средство выведения аппаратов в космос. Стоимость запуска составляет от 56 до 77 миллионов долларов, в то время как запуск российского "Протона" или европейской ракеты Ariane 5 обходится в 100 миллионов и 200 миллионов соответственно.

[Lanista]

Плохо, очень плохо.
Надеюсь основные задачи стенд успел выполнить.

[FarEcho]

azeast пишет:

http://ria.ru/world/20140823/1021106515.html#ixzz3BBZtRafQ

...По данным телеканала, ракета  Falcon 9R идентична Falcon 9 , которая используется для выведения аппаратов на МКС...

Тут у РИА сразу несколько неточностей: Falcon 9R совсем не идентичен Falcon 9. Это его первая ступень, к тому же модифицированная (в частности, только 3 двигателя Merlin). Ее назначение - тоже что и у Grasshopper  - отработка посадки. Данный полет был тоже тестовый, планировался подъем примерно до 3 км с последующим приземлением. Доставка грузов на МКС и приведенная стоимость запуска, естественно не для F9R.
Кстати, зря РИА ссылается на телеканал NBC - у того приведенных ляпов в сообщении нет, это уже творческая доработка наших журналистов

[Salo]

Launched:

2014:
№ – Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)
01 - January 6 - Thaicom 6 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 -22:06
02 - April 18 - Dragon SpX-3 (CRS3), All-Star (THEIA), SporeSat, TSAT (TestSat-Lite), KickSat (with 104 Sprites), PhoneSat 2.5 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 19:25:21
03 - July 14 - Orbcomm G2 (x6) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 15:15
04 - August 5 - AsiaSat 8 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 08:00

Scheduled:

Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

2014
August 26 - AsiaSat 6 (Thaicom 7) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 04:50-08:05
September 19 - Dragon SpX-4 (CRS4), SpinSat, Arkyd-3 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 06:38
November - Orbcomm G2 (x11) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 (or early 2015)
November - TürkmenÄlem 520E - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
December 1 - Dragon SpX-5 (CRS5) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40

[Salo]

Собственно можно подводить итоги:

2014
Launched:

1 - January 6 - Thaicom 6 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 -22:06:02
2 - April 18 - Dragon SpX-3 (CRS3), All-Star (THEIA), SporeSat, TSAT (TestSat-Lite), KickSat (with 104 Sprites), PhoneSat 2.5 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 19:25:21
3 - July 14 - Orbcomm G2 (x6) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 15:15
4 - August  5 - AsiaSat 8 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 08:00
5 - September  7 - AsiaSat 6 (Thaicom 7) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 05:00
6 - September 21 - Dragon SpX-4 (CRS4) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 05:52:03

Scheduled:

December 9 - Dragon SpX-5 (CRS5) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 22:15

[Штуцер]

kroton пишет:
7

[Salo]

Таки шесть:

2014
Launched:

1 - January 6 - Thaicom 6 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 -22:06:02
2 - April 18 - Dragon SpX-3 (CRS3), All-Star (THEIA), SporeSat, TSAT (TestSat-Lite), KickSat (with 104 Sprites), PhoneSat 2.5 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 19:25:21
3 - July 14 - Orbcomm G2 (x6) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 15:15
4 - August 5 - AsiaSat 8 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 08:00
5 - September 7 - AsiaSat 6 (Thaicom 7) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 05:00
6 - September 21 - Dragon SpX-4 (CRS4) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 05:52:03

[Salo]

instml пишет:
6 - 7 !!!!!!!!11

Lanista пишет:
5-6, скорее 6.

Salo пишет:
Буду снова оптимистичен: шесть.

G.K. пишет:
6-7 пусков, не больше.

Дмитрий В. пишет:
Вряд ли больше 6-7 пусков.

Ну-и-ну пишет:
6 + испытание САС.

ЗЫ: поправил.

[Прол]

Salo пишет:

Lanista пишет:
5-6, скорее 6.

Salo пишет:
Буду снова оптимистичен: шесть.

G.K. пишет:
6-7 пусков, не больше.

Дмитрий В. пишет:
Вряд ли больше 6-7 пусков.

Ну-и-ну пишет:
6 + испытание САС.

Ну, так эксперты .