Ближние районы падения совпадают, дальние (в Тихом океане) несколько различаются. Наклонение орбиты, если это орбитальные пуски, где-то от 46 до 51°.
На 13 декабря:
A3138/21 NOTAMN
Q) ZXXX/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/3504N11143E020
A) ZBPE ZHWH B) 2112130149 C) 2112130223
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED
BY: N345731E1120536-N344857E1115735-N351158E1112102-N352034E1112902,
BACK TO START. ALL ACFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE TEMPORARY
RESTRICTED AREA.
VERTICAL LIMITS: GND-UNL.
F) GND G) UNL
CREATED: 10 Dec 2021 08:33:00
SOURCE: ZBBBYNYX
N3420/21 NOTAMN
Q) YBBB/QWMLW/IV/BO/W/000/999/1937S15944E035
A) YBBB
B) 2112130151 C) 2112130248
E) AEROSPACE FLIGHT ACTIVITY WILL TAKE PLACE
AEROSPACE LAUNCH EXP, THE FLT SAFETY OF ACFT MAY BE AFFECTED.
UNBURNED DEBRIS IS EXP WI THE FLW AREA:
19 52 15S 160 12 50E, 20 06 28S 159 55 30E, 19 25 25S 159 18 05E, 19
11 16S 159 35 23E
F) SFC G) UNL
CREATED: 11 Dec 2021 06:31:00
SOURCE: YBBBZEZX
На 15 декабря:
A3139/21 NOTAMN
Q) ZXXX/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/3504N11143E020
A) ZBPE ZHWH B) 2112150212 C) 2112150248
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED
BY: N345731E1120536-N344857E1115735-N351158E1112102-N352034E1112902,
BACK TO START. ALL ACFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE TEMPORARY
RESTRICTED AREA.
VERTICAL LIMITS: GND-UNL.
F) GND G) UNL
CREATED: 10 Dec 2021 08:42:00
SOURCE: ZBBBYNYX
N3421/21 NOTAMN
Q) YBBB/QWMLW/IV/BO/W/000/999/1840S15608E035
A) YBBB
B) 2112150214 C) 2112150306
E) AEROSPACE FLIGHT ACTIVITY WILL TAKE PLACE
AEROSPACE LAUNCH EXP, THE FLT SAFETY OF ACFT MAY BE AFFECTED,
UNBURNED DEBRIS IS EXP WI THE FLW AREA:
18 55 18S 156 35 50E, 19 09 01S 156 18 11E, 18 26 57S 155 42 16E,
18 13 17S 155 59 54E
F) SFC G) UNL
CREATED: 11 Dec 2021 06:34:00
SOURCE: YBBBZEZX
Цитировать(https://img.novosti-kosmonavtiki.ru/42242.jpg) Cosmic Penguin @Cosmic_Penguin
And Then There Are (Another) Two Weirdos!
@Nextlaunch and I picked up air closure zones showing TWO more identical launches w/ who-know-what from Jiuquan to orbit w/t next *4* days, Dec. 13 ~02:00 & Dec. 15 ~02:20 UTC! Both have the same direction to a strange ~50 deg. orbit.
.
It started with 2 zones picked up NE of Australia in the Coral Sea that are noted for *2* Chinese aerospace activities. This is a strange place to drop Chinese rocket stages but more zones filed inside China confirmed such!
2 KZ-1As were apparently shipped to JSLC late Nov...
(https://img.novosti-kosmonavtiki.ru/183742.jpg)
https://twitter.com/Cosmic_Penguin/status/1469915202057797636
ЦитироватьCosmic Penguin @Cosmic_Penguin
So CASIC got interviewed by state TV yesterday, they confirmed KZ-1A s/n Y16 & 17 will fly within December, increasing chances the 2 launches above are KZ-1As.
They also said "10+ launches planned in 1H 2022". @RocketLab @VirginOrbit @Astra @Firefly_Space where're your cadence?
У коллег на NSF есть предположение, что летят MicroSpace-1 System S3 и S4. Во всяком случае, первый из них 27 ноября провожали на полигон. Орбита 53.5° 700 км в первом приближении соответствует заявленным районам.
Цитата: Liss от 11.12.2021 17:41:35На 13 декабря:
A3138/21 NOTAMN
Q) ZXXX/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/3504N11143E020
A) ZBPE ZHWH B) 2112130149 C) 2112130223
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED
BY: N345731E1120536-N344857E1115735-N351158E1112102-N352034E1112902,
BACK TO START. ALL ACFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE TEMPORARY
RESTRICTED AREA.
VERTICAL LIMITS: GND-UNL.
F) GND G) UNL
CREATED: 10 Dec 2021 08:33:00
SOURCE: ZBBBYNYX
N3420/21 NOTAMN
Q) YBBB/QWMLW/IV/BO/W/000/999/1937S15944E035
A) YBBB
B) 2112130151 C) 2112130248
E) AEROSPACE FLIGHT ACTIVITY WILL TAKE PLACE
AEROSPACE LAUNCH EXP, THE FLT SAFETY OF ACFT MAY BE AFFECTED.
UNBURNED DEBRIS IS EXP WI THE FLW AREA:
19 52 15S 160 12 50E, 20 06 28S 159 55 30E, 19 25 25S 159 18 05E, 19
11 16S 159 35 23E
F) SFC G) UNL
CREATED: 11 Dec 2021 06:31:00
SOURCE: YBBBZEZX
Цитировать(https://img.novosti-kosmonavtiki.ru/42242.jpg) Cosmic Penguin @Cosmic_Penguin
And Then There Are (Another) Two Weirdos!
@Nextlaunch and I picked up air closure zones showing TWO more identical launches w/ who-know-what from Jiuquan to orbit w/t next *4* days, Dec. 13 ~02:00 & Dec. 15 ~02:20 UTC! Both have the same direction to a strange ~50 deg. orbit.
.
It started with 2 zones picked up NE of Australia in the Coral Sea that are noted for *2* Chinese aerospace activities. This is a strange place to drop Chinese rocket stages but more zones filed inside China confirmed such!
2 KZ-1As were apparently shipped to JSLC late Nov...
(https://img.novosti-kosmonavtiki.ru/183742.jpg)
ЦитироватьCosmic Penguin @Cosmic_Penguin
After waiting for more than an hour, I checked and found fresh air space closure zone notices showing both launches slipping by 2 days - the one on today to Dec. 15 & the one on the 15th to Dec. 17, same window.
This leaves this one ~4 hours after Proton still on track...
Отложено на 2 дня.
ЦитироватьCosmic Penguin @Cosmic_Penguin
After waiting for more than an hour, I checked and found fresh air space closure zone notices showing both launches slipping by 2 days - the one on today to Dec. 15 & the one on the 15th to Dec. 17, same window.
This leaves this one ~4 hours after Proton still on track...
Отложено на 2 дня.
Да, все NOTAM'ы на оба пуска перевыпущены со сдвигом на 48 часов.
ЦитироватьJonathan McDowell @planet4589
Rumours that an EXPACE Kuaizhou-1A may have been launched from Jiuquan at 0200 UTC with the Weili Kongjian 1-3S (微厘空间一号S3卫星) satellite, with subsquent silence from China suggesting possible failure. But no solid evidence yet that the launch happened.
Авария?
(гуглоперевод)
ЦитироватьGeeSAT double-star commercial space launch mission failed
Xinhua News Agency, Jiuquan, December 15th. At 10 o'clock on December 15th, my country used the Kuaizhou-1A carrier rocket at the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center to perform the GeeSAT double-star commercial space launch mission. The rocket flies abnormally and the launch mission fails. The specific reasons are being further analyzed and investigated.
http://m.news.cn/2021-12/15/c_1128165693.htm
Англоязычный вариант тоже уже есть:
http://www.news.cn/english/2021-12/15/c_1310373959.htm
Цитата: undefinedLaunch of GeeSAT commercial satellites fails
Source: Xinhua | 2021-12-15 15:14:49 | Editor: huaxia
JIUQUAN, Dec. 15 (Xinhua) -- The launch of a pair of GeeSAT commercial satellites, carried by a Kuaizhou-1A carrier rocket, was unsuccessful, the launch center said in a statement Wednesday.
Abnormal performance was detected during the flight of the rocket, which lifted off from the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center in northwest China at 10 a.m. (Beijing Time).
The cause of the failure is under investigation, according to the statement. Enditem
http://russian.news.cn/2021-12/15/c_1310374095.htm (http://russian.news.cn/2021-12/15/c_1310374095.htm)
ЦитироватьЗапуск коммерческих спутников GeeSAT потерпел неудачу
2021-12-15 15:51:01丨Russian.News.Cn
Цзюцюань, 15 декабря /Синьхуа/ -- Запуск двух коммерческих спутников GeeSAT, осуществленный ракетой-носителем "Куайчжоу-1A", не увенчался успехом, говорится в сообщении космодрома Цзюцюань в среду.
Аномальные характеристики были обнаружены во время полета ракеты, стартовавшей с космодрома Цзюцюань /пров. Ганьсу, Северо-Западный Китай/ в среду в 10:00 по пекинскому времени.
Согласно сообщению, конкретная причина неудачи миссии находится в стадии дальнейшего анализа и расследования.
Отчитываемся: https://novosti-kosmonavtiki.ru/articles/82261.html
По ссылке https://new.qq.com/omn/20200707/20200707A0K95E00.html имеются фотографии пары КА за июнь 2020 года:
1000.jpg
1001.jpg
1002.jpg
1003.jpg